Polls 2016-05-02T14:14:10+00:00

[fullwidth background_color=”” background_image=”” background_parallax=”none” enable_mobile=”no” parallax_speed=”0.3″ background_repeat=”no-repeat” background_position=”left top” video_url=”” video_aspect_ratio=”16:9″ video_webm=”” video_mp4=”” video_ogv=”” video_preview_image=”” overlay_color=”” overlay_opacity=”0.5″ video_mute=”yes” video_loop=”yes” fade=”no” border_size=”0px” border_color=”” border_style=”solid” padding_top=”20″ padding_bottom=”20″ padding_left=”5%” padding_right=”5%” hundred_percent=”no” equal_height_columns=”no” hide_on_mobile=”no” menu_anchor=”” class=”” id=””][title size=”2″ content_align=”left” style_type=”default” sep_color=”#ffffff” margin_top=”” margin_bottom=”” class=”” id=””]PUBLIC POLLING ON WATER STORAGE AND HIGH-SPEED RAIL[/title][separator style_type=”none” top_margin=”5″ bottom_margin=”5″ sep_color=”#ffffff” border_size=”” icon=”” icon_circle=”” icon_circle_color=”” width=”” alignment=”center” class=”” id=””][accordian divider_line=”yes” class=”” id=””][toggle title=”April 2016 | Field Poll” open=”yes”]

Greater than six in ten (62%) California voters continue to describe the state’s water shortage as “extremely serious,” a ratio that has declined since October 2015 when it peaked at three out of four (76%). At no time has the measure been below 60% since April 2014. An additional 29% rate the state’s water shortage as “somewhat serious,” while only 8% say it is “not serious.” The region of California with the greatest concern over its water shortage is Northern California (68%), followed by Southern California (60%) and the Central Valley (58%).
Three in four (74%) voters also feel it’s “very important” for residents to continue reducing their water consumption both inside and outside their homes, and greater than eight in ten (86%) say they plan to do so on a permanent basis even after the current drought is over. Another 19% believe continued conservation is “somewhat important.”
More than half of California voters (55%) say they and their families have been directly affected “a great deal or somewhat” by the state’s current water shortage, a proportion similar to that of October 2015. Regionally, the Central Valley (64%) was followed by Northern California (57%) and Southern California (51%).
The findings in this report come from a Field Poll completed March 24 – April 3, 2016 among 800 registered voters in California. The maximum sampling error for results from the overall registered voter sample is +/- 3.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

[/toggle][toggle title=”March 2016 | Public Policy Institute of California” open=”yes”]

About half of Californians (51% adults, 53% likely voters) approve of Governor Jerry Brown’s job performance. The state legislature has a job approval rating of 44 percent among adults and 38 percent among likely voters. Jobs/economy (27% adults, 29% likely voters) edges out water/ drought (20% adults, 23% likely voters) as the most important issue facing Californians today.
As seasonal rainfall has increased and Californians have slowed their conservation efforts, residents are also less likely today (57% adults) to say the supply of water as a big problem in their part of the state than they were in September 2015, when a record-high 70 percent held this view. Half (49% adults) say that the people in their part of California are not doing enough to respond to the drought, while 38 percent say people are doing the right amount.
High-speed rail: Eight years after state voters passed the $10 billion bond to build high-speed rail with 53 percent support, 52 percent of adults and 44 percent of likely voters continue to favor building it. When those who are opposed are asked how they would feel if it cost less, overall support increases to 66 percent among adults and 59 percent among likely voters. How important is high-speed rail to the future quality of life and economic vitality of California? A third of adults (34%) and a quarter of likely voters (26%) say it is very important.
 
Approval Ratings of State Elected Officials
Question asked: “Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Jerry Brown is handling his job as governor of California?”

Fifty-one percent of adults and 53 percent of likely voters approve of the way Jerry Brown is handling his job as California’s governor. The governor’s approval rating was slightly higher in January (58% adults, 60% likely voters) and it was similar last March (55% adults, 56% likely voters). Today, the governor’s approval rating is much higher among Democrats (69%) than among independents (39%) and Republicans (27%). Approval is higher in the San Francisco Bay Area (58%) than in other regions. Latinos (62%) are more likely than whites (48%), blacks (47%), and Asians (40%) to approve of the governor.

Overall Mood
Question Asked: “Thinking about the state as a whole, what do you think is the most important issue facing people in California today?”

Californians are most likely to name jobs and the economy (27%) and water and the drought (20%) as the most important issues facing people in California today; fewer than one in 10 name any other issue. Jobs and the economy (24%) and water and the drought (23%) also topped the issues list in March 2015. Water and the drought (29%) and jobs and the economy (34%) are both named more often today in the Central Valley than in other regions, although the SF Bay Area (21%) ranked the highest among other state regions. Orange County/San Diego (16%) was lowest. The top two issues are similar among likely voters and all adults.

State Water Supply
Question Asked: “Would you say that the supply of water is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, or not much of a problem in your part of California?”
Today, 57 percent of Californians say that the supply of water is a big problem in their part of California—down from a record high of 70 percent in September 2015, when we last asked this question. This comes as much of California has seen increased seasonal rainfall and the slowing of statewide conservation efforts. Residents in the Central Valley (68%) are the most likely to see their regional water supply as a big problem, with Orange County/San Diego (60%) in second place, and  while residents in the San Francisco Bay Area (53%) are the least likely. The share holding this view increases with age and is highest among whites (66%) and lowest among Asians (47%) across racial/ethnic groups.
High-Speed Rail
Question Asked: “Thinking ahead, how important is the high-speed rail system for the future quality of life and economic vitality of California?”
In November 2008 California voters passed Proposition 1A, the Safe, Reliable High-Speed Passenger Train Bond Act for the 21st Century, with 53 percent support. How do Californians view this project today? Thirty-four percent of California adults and 26 percent of likely voters view the high-speed rail system as very important for the future of California. The perception that the rail system is very important has ranged from a high of 36 percent in March 2013 to a low of 28 percent last March. Residents in the San Francisco Bay Area (45%) are the most likely to call the high-speed rail system very important, while about a third in all other regions hold this view. Democrats (37%) are more than twice as likely as Republicans (15%) to hold this view. Latinos (45%) are the most likely to call the system very important, followed by Asians (40%), blacks (33%), and whites (25%).
Question Asked: “Next, as you may know, California voters passed a $10 billion state bond in 2008 for planning and construction of a high-speed rail system from Southern California to the Central Valley and the San Francisco Bay Area. The estimated costs associated with the high-speed rail system are about $68 billion over the next 20 years. Do you favor or oppose building a high-speed rail system in California?”
Fifty-two percent of Californians favor building the high-speed rail system; shares have been similar since we first asked this question in March 2012. Today, 44 percent of likely voters favor the projectResidents in the San Francisco Bay Area (63%) are the most likely to favor the project and have the lowest level of opposition (29%), while residents elsewhere are more divided, with supporters (Range: 47%–51%) closely outnumbering opponents (Range: 45%–51%). There is a wide partisan divide, with six in 10 Democrats and three in 10 Republicans in favor. Support is higher among Asians (66%) and Latinos (58%) than among whites (44%) and blacks (42%), and declines sharply with increasing age. When those who oppose the high- speed rail system are asked how they would feel if it cost less, overall support increases to 66 percent among all adults and 59 percent among likely voters.
Findings in this report are based on a survey of 1,710 California adult residents, including 852 interviewed on landline telephones and 858 interviewed on cell phones. Interviews took an average of 20 minutes to complete. Interviewing took place on weekend days and weekday nights from March 6–15, 2016. Full report can be viewed here. 

[/toggle][toggle title=”January 2016 | Hoover Institution Golden State Poll” open=”yes”]Fifty-three percent of Californians would vote for a ballot measure ending high-speed rail and using the unspent money on water-storage projects.”  … “The latest Hoover Golden State Poll, administered by the survey research firm YouGov and designed in conjunction with Stanford’s Bill Lane Center for the American West, sampled 1,800 Californians (age eighteen and above) statewide from November 30 to December 13. Among the poll’s questions, voters were asked to prioritize twenty-one policy concerns facing the state.  The top finishers were dealing with California’s water problems, strengthening the state’s economy, improving the job situation, and balancing the state’s budget.[/toggle][toggle title=”January 2016 | Field Poll” open=”yes”]While voters’ overall assessments of the Governor [Jerry Brown] are positive, a 56% majority criticize him for favoring too many big government projects that voters feel the state cannot afford,” compared to 32% who say “not at all” and 12% who had “no opinion.” “Greater than three in four Republicans (78%) hold this view” compared to 12% who say “not at all” and 10% who had “no opinion,” as do 52% of the state’s non-partisans,” compared to 32% saying “not at all” and 16% with “no opinion.” “Even a plurality of Democrats (45%) believes this applies to Brown either a lot or some.” The “findings [are taken] from the latest statewide Field Poll completed among 1,003 registered voters in early January.[/toggle][toggle title=”November 2015 | Public Policy Institute of California Poll” open=”yes”]A November 2015 PPIC “Californians & Their Government Poll” reported that Water and the Drought, at 27% of likely voters, were the top rated issues of concern to Californians, followed by Jobs and the Economy (24%).[/toggle][toggle title=”October 2015 | Field Poll” open=”yes”]An October 2015 Field Poll found that 76% of the state’s registered voters said that California’s ongoing water shortage was extremely serious, while nearly 9 out of 10 residents felt the water shortage was “serious.”

The poll also found that 58% of the state’s voters feel California’s drought has touched their lives, negatively affecting themselves and their family.[/toggle][toggle title=”August-September 2015 | USC/Dornsife/L.A. Times Poll” open=”yes”]An August-September 2015 USC/Dornsife/L.A. Times Poll found that 79% of respondents felt that “Old delivery systems and not enough water storage” were responsible for water supply problems in California. 62% of Caucasian respondents and 76% of Latinos felt that “Environmental regulations” were responsible.

When asked to identify policies that would address the drought and help conserve water, 95% chose “Recycling more water” and “”Improving our state’s ability to capture storm water,” followed by 85% for “Store more water in underground aquifers,” 80% for “Investing in desalinating ocean water,” and 69% for “Building new dams and reservoirs.”[/toggle][toggle title=”February 2015 | Field Poll” open=”yes”]A February 2015 Field Poll found that 68% of the state’s registered voters said that California’s ongoing water shortage was extremely serious.

More than four times as many voters (43%) say the state’s existing water storage and supply facilities are inadequate to meet the needs of California compared to just one in ten voters (10%) who believe state water storage and supply facilities are more than adequate.[/toggle][toggle title=”January 2015 | Hoover Institution/YouGov/Golden State Poll” open=”yes”]The January 2015 Hoover Institution/YouGov/Golden State Poll ranked “Continuing the state’s high-speed rail project” last in state priorities for Californians, with only 16% of respondents giving it a top priority rating from among 21 policy options for the state mentioned in Governor Jerry Brown’s State of the State speech.

By contrast, “Dealing with the state’s water problems,” at 69%, was the second-highest priority named by respondents, after “Strengthening the state’s economy,” the top choice for 72%. “Protecting the environment” was a top priority for 32% of respondents at number 16, and “Dealing with global warming,” at 26%, was third from last at number 18.[/toggle][toggle title=”October 2014 | USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll” open=”yes”]In an October 2014 poll of 1,537 California registered voters, 5% ranked the High-Speed Rail Project as their highest priority out of 10 state policy issues, compared to 43% for Education (#1), 36% for the Economy and Jobs (#2), and 26% for Water and Drought (#3). High-speed rail ranked 9th out of 10 issues as a voter priority. Overall, 39% felt “strongly” plus 9% “not strongly” that the rail project should be stopped, compared to 31% “strongly” and 12% “not strongly” that the project should proceed.[/toggle][toggle title=”May 2014 | USC/Dornsife/L.A. Times Poll ” open=”yes”]A May 2014 USC/Dornsife/L.A. Times Poll found that 89% of respondents described the drought in California as either a “Crisis” (40%) or “Major problem but not a crisis” (48%), while 10% found it a “Minor problem” (8%) or “Not a problem at all” (2%).

When asked how much of an impact the drought had on them personally or on their family, 16% said it had a “Major impact” while 48% said it had a “Minor impact,” and 34% reported “No impact at all.”

The poll also asked likely voters how responsible they felt the following factors were in causing water supply problems in California: “People in California using too much water” (75%), “Old delivery systems and not enough water storage” (72%), “Climate change” (64%), and “Environmental regulations” (56%).

When asked to identify policies that would address the drought and help conserve water, 92% chose “Recycling more water” and ”Improving our state’s ability to capture storm water,” followed by 80% for “Store more water in underground aquifers” and 70% for “Building new dams and reservoirs.”[/toggle][toggle title=”March 2014 | Public Policy Institute of California Poll” open=”yes”]In a March 2014 Public Policy Institute of California Poll, 45% of likely voters stated that they were in favor of the High-Speed Rail Project, compared to 43% in March 2013. Both numbers were within the margins of error of the polls.[/toggle][toggle title=”September 2013 | USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll” open=”yes”]In a September 2013 poll of 1,500 California registered voters, 70% of voters said they wanted another chance to vote on whether the high-speed rail project should continue, as opposed to 27% who disagreed. More than half of voters, 52 percent, said California’s high-speed rail project should be stopped, as opposed to 43 percent who want the project to go forward. Fifty-one percent of respondents called the project a waste of money, and 63% said they would never or seldom use it.[/toggle][toggle title=”July 2012 | Field Poll” open=”yes”]A July 2012 Field Poll found that 56% of likely voters would oppose the High-Speed Rail Project if it were up for another public vote, with 39% supportive.[/toggle][toggle title=”May 2012 | USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll” open=”yes”]In a May 2012 poll of 1,002 California registered voters, a 59% majority of Californians say the state has bigger priorities right now and they would veto the rail project if given another chance to vote on it, while 33% said they would support funding high-speed rail. Overall, 55% of California voters said they want another chance to weigh in on whether the state should borrow money for high-speed rail, compared to 36% who said they should not be asked to go back to the ballot box.[/toggle][toggle title=”September 2011 | Probolosky Research LLC Poll” open=”yes”]In a September 2015 Proboloski Research Poll of 750 likely primary voters, only 11.2% of Californians prioritized as important to them spending by the state on “High-Speed Rail between Los Angeles and San Francisco.” Rail’s priority was last of six options, behind “Water and Irrigation” (29.1%) and “Protecting the Environment and Encouraging Clean Energy Investment (18.4%).

“No” voters are more intense in their dislike of rail than proponents. When asked, 62.4% of respondents would vote to “Stop California’s High-Speed Rail (HSR) Project,” compared to 31.1% who would not. 81.4% of likely voters that said “Stop HSR” would “definitely” vote against the project, compared to 61.8% of those that answered “Keep HSR” who said they “Definitely” would vote for continuing the project.

Familiarity with HSR increased negative feelings. Of those “very familiar with HSR,” 59.5% would vote to stop the project, compared with 51.7% of those “somewhat familiar”, 47.2% of those who had “heard of HSR, not much more,” and 45.3% of those who had never heard of HSR.

Of those polled, 63.3% said they were “unlikely” to ever travel on the high-speed train between Los Angeles and San Francisco, compared to 33.7% who said such a ride was “likely” and 13.1% who refused to answer or were firm in their unsure response.[/toggle][/accordian][/fullwidth]